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Lightning Reliability Intelligence

Reliability monitoring for Lightning payments, routes, nodes, and alerts.

Optaimaze analyzes recent route snapshots to surface payment reliability, explainable route confidence, Node Trust Scores, and monitoring signals that trigger email or Nostr alerts when conditions change.

stable Risk: Low Stability: Strong Last updated: 5:24 AM

Current recommendation: ACINQ

Recommendation is stable. ACINQ has a 89/100 stability score, strong short-term stability, and 100% dominance across the last 12 snapshots.

Route Recommendation:
ACINQ appears reliable based on recent history. Stability is strong, but continue monitoring for sudden winner changes, volatility spikes, or confidence deterioration.
89
Stability Score

89/100

Based on dominance, volatility, winner changes, confidence trend, and current recommendation duration.

Payment Reliability Risk: Low Outcome: Very likely to succeed

100/100 payment reliability

Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected, with support from route leadership did not change across the analyzed window and confidence is stable.

Payment Recommendation:
Payment reliability is strong. ACINQ appears suitable based on current route confidence and recent stability signals.
100
Payment Reliability

Very likely to succeed

Based on the current route candidate, recent route leadership, volatility, and snapshot history.

Why Payment Reliability?

Caution signals
  • no major instability signals detected
Supportive signals
  • route leadership did not change across the analyzed window
  • confidence is stable
  • route score volatility is low
  • ACINQ has strong short-term stability after 12 snapshot(s)
  • ACINQ is also the dominant recent node
Amount Sensitivity:
No payment amount provided, so reliability is based on route behavior only.
Monitoring Active Email: hello@optaimaze.com Last alert: Oct 29, 2:15 AM

Alerts watch reliability changes between checks.

The monitor compares the latest payment reliability, route status, leader, dominant node, and node trust state against the previous run. It sends only when a meaningful trigger clears severity and cooldown rules.

Alert triggers:
Payment risk changes, reliability drops, route status changes, leader changes, dominant node changes, winner-change spikes, and node trust level changes.
100
Alert Monitor

Checking normally

API status is available at /api/alert-status. A skip means no alert-worthy change was detected.

Dominant Node ACINQ
Dominance 100%
Current Duration 12/12
Stability Strength Strong
Confidence High
Current Score 95.8
Winner Changes 0
Volatility Low
Recent Changes 0
Previous Changes 0
Volatility Direction Steady
Volatility Delta -0.04

API Signals

Optaimaze exposes the same reliability layer through clean API routes for payment reliability, route confidence, node trust, and alert monitoring status.

/api/payment-reliability /api/route-confidence /api/route-insights /api/node-reliability /api/alert-status
Node Trust Intelligence

Most Reliable Nodes

Optaimaze scores nodes by historical dominance, winning consistency, confidence, volatility, and recent stability.

Reliable leader

ACINQ

83
Wins: 100
Dominance: 100%
Longest run: 100 snapshots
Stability: Strong
Trend: Steady
Dominance
100
Confidence
100
Volatility
46
Recent
100
Node trust is high because ACINQ is the current recommendation.
Low trust signal

bfx-lnd0

19
Wins: 0
Dominance: 0%
Longest run: 0 snapshots
Stability: Weak
Trend: Steady
Dominance
0
Confidence
0
Volatility
100
Recent
0
Node trust is low because bfx-lnd0 has not recently been the winning route candidate.
Low trust signal

bfx-lnd1

19
Wins: 0
Dominance: 0%
Longest run: 0 snapshots
Stability: Weak
Trend: Steady
Dominance
0
Confidence
0
Volatility
100
Recent
0
Node trust is low because bfx-lnd1 has not recently been the winning route candidate.

Why This Status?

  • Route leadership did not change across the analyzed snapshot window.
  • ACINQ is the dominant node with 100% of recent recommendations.
  • The current recommendation matches the dominant node in the analyzed window.
  • The current recommendation has held for 12 consecutive snapshot(s).
  • Short-term stability strength is strong.
  • Score volatility is low.
  • Confidence trend is stable.
  • Route score trend is stable.

Top Alternates

bfx-lnd0
100%
bfx-lnd1
91.7%
block-iad-1
66.7%
LNBiG [Hub-2]
58.3%
LNBiG [Hub-1]
25%

Recent Route History

Time Winner Score Confidence
05:24 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
05:16 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
05:08 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
05:00 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
04:56 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 94.6 High
04:48 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 96.25 High
04:40 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 96.25 High
04:32 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 94.6 High
04:24 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
04:16 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 96.25 High
04:08 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High
04:00 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 95.8 High

Leadership Distribution

ACINQ
100%

Dominant node: ACINQ
Dominant strength: Very Strong
Stability strength: Strong
Confidence trend: Stable
Score trend: Stable
Score volatility: 0.53