{
    "success": true,
    "generated_at": "2026-10-29T06:43:11+00:00",
    "payment_reliability": 97,
    "expected_outcome": "very likely to succeed",
    "payment_risk_level": "low",
    "amount_sats": null,
    "amount_sensitivity": {
        "level": "not_provided",
        "score_adjustment": 0,
        "message": "No payment amount provided, so reliability is based on route behavior only."
    },
    "current_route_candidate": {
        "alias": "ACINQ",
        "node_id": "03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f",
        "route_score": 84.1,
        "structural_score": 84.1,
        "route_confidence": "high",
        "held_for_snapshots": 12,
        "stability_duration": 12,
        "stability_strength": "strong"
    },
    "dominant_node": {
        "alias": "ACINQ",
        "appearances": 12,
        "dominance_rate_percent": 100,
        "dominance_rate": 100,
        "is_current_leader": true
    },
    "risk_factors": [
        "Score volatility is increasing versus the previous window by 4.75 points."
    ],
    "why": "Payment reliability is strong because route scores are declining versus the earlier window, volatility is increasing versus the previous window, with support from route leadership did not change across the analyzed window and confidence is stable.",
    "why_reasons": [
        "route scores are declining versus the earlier window",
        "volatility is increasing versus the previous window",
        "route leadership did not change across the analyzed window",
        "confidence is stable",
        "route score volatility is low",
        "ACINQ has strong short-term stability after 12 snapshot(s)",
        "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node"
    ],
    "explanation": {
        "summary": "Payment reliability is strong because route scores are declining versus the earlier window, volatility is increasing versus the previous window, with support from route leadership did not change across the analyzed window and confidence is stable.",
        "primary_reason": "route scores are declining versus the earlier window",
        "supporting_reasons": [
            "route scores are declining versus the earlier window",
            "volatility is increasing versus the previous window",
            "route leadership did not change across the analyzed window",
            "confidence is stable",
            "route score volatility is low",
            "ACINQ has strong short-term stability after 12 snapshot(s)",
            "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node"
        ],
        "caution_signals": [
            "route scores are declining versus the earlier window",
            "volatility is increasing versus the previous window"
        ],
        "positive_signals": [
            "route leadership did not change across the analyzed window",
            "confidence is stable",
            "route score volatility is low",
            "ACINQ has strong short-term stability after 12 snapshot(s)",
            "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node"
        ],
        "amount_sensitivity": {
            "level": "not_provided",
            "score_adjustment": 0,
            "message": "No payment amount provided, so reliability is based on route behavior only."
        },
        "confidence_context": {
            "status": "stable",
            "risk_level": "low",
            "confidence_score": 71,
            "structural_score": 84.1,
            "execution_score": 44,
            "stability_score": 81,
            "route_why": "ACINQ appears stable because it aligns with the dominant node and has strong short-term stability across the recent snapshot window. Execution proxy is 44/100 and overall confidence is 71/100.",
            "route_explanation": {
                "summary": "ACINQ looks stable with 71/100 confidence because Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                "primary_reason": "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                "supporting_reasons": [
                    "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                    "Volatility increased by 4.75 points versus the previous window.",
                    "Route leadership did not change across the last 12 snapshots.",
                    "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.",
                    "ACINQ owns 100% of recent recommendations, showing concentrated leadership.",
                    "The current leader has strong short-term stability after holding for 12 snapshot(s).",
                    "Route score volatility is low.",
                    "Confidence is stable across the analyzed window."
                ],
                "caution_signals": [
                    "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                    "Volatility increased by 4.75 points versus the previous window."
                ],
                "positive_signals": [
                    "Route leadership did not change across the last 12 snapshots.",
                    "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.",
                    "ACINQ owns 100% of recent recommendations, showing concentrated leadership.",
                    "The current leader has strong short-term stability after holding for 12 snapshot(s).",
                    "Route score volatility is low.",
                    "Confidence is stable across the analyzed window."
                ],
                "movement": {
                    "recent_winner_changes": 0,
                    "previous_winner_changes": 0,
                    "winner_change_delta": 0,
                    "recent_score_volatility": 5.26,
                    "previous_score_volatility": 0.51,
                    "score_volatility_delta": 4.75,
                    "volatility_direction": "increasing"
                },
                "scores": {
                    "confidence_score": 71,
                    "execution_score": 44
                }
            }
        }
    },
    "recommendation": "Payment reliability is strong. ACINQ appears suitable based on current route confidence and recent stability signals.",
    "source_route_confidence": {
        "confidence_score": 71,
        "structural_score": 84.1,
        "execution_score": 44,
        "stability_score": 81,
        "status": "stable",
        "risk_level": "low",
        "why": "ACINQ appears stable because it aligns with the dominant node and has strong short-term stability across the recent snapshot window. Execution proxy is 44/100 and overall confidence is 71/100.",
        "explanation": {
            "summary": "ACINQ looks stable with 71/100 confidence because Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
            "primary_reason": "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
            "supporting_reasons": [
                "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                "Volatility increased by 4.75 points versus the previous window.",
                "Route leadership did not change across the last 12 snapshots.",
                "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.",
                "ACINQ owns 100% of recent recommendations, showing concentrated leadership.",
                "The current leader has strong short-term stability after holding for 12 snapshot(s).",
                "Route score volatility is low.",
                "Confidence is stable across the analyzed window."
            ],
            "caution_signals": [
                "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
                "Volatility increased by 4.75 points versus the previous window."
            ],
            "positive_signals": [
                "Route leadership did not change across the last 12 snapshots.",
                "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.",
                "ACINQ owns 100% of recent recommendations, showing concentrated leadership.",
                "The current leader has strong short-term stability after holding for 12 snapshot(s).",
                "Route score volatility is low.",
                "Confidence is stable across the analyzed window."
            ],
            "movement": {
                "recent_winner_changes": 0,
                "previous_winner_changes": 0,
                "winner_change_delta": 0,
                "recent_score_volatility": 5.26,
                "previous_score_volatility": 0.51,
                "score_volatility_delta": 4.75,
                "volatility_direction": "increasing"
            },
            "scores": {
                "confidence_score": 71,
                "execution_score": 44
            }
        },
        "why_reasons": [
            "Route scores are declining compared with the earlier part of the window.",
            "Volatility increased by 4.75 points versus the previous window.",
            "Route leadership did not change across the last 12 snapshots.",
            "ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.",
            "ACINQ owns 100% of recent recommendations, showing concentrated leadership.",
            "The current leader has strong short-term stability after holding for 12 snapshot(s).",
            "Route score volatility is low.",
            "Confidence is stable across the analyzed window."
        ],
        "recommendation": "ACINQ is structurally strong, but execution signals are mixed. Treat it as the current structural leader, not a guaranteed best route.",
        "last_updated": "2026-10-29 06:40:05"
    },
    "cache": {
        "hit": false,
        "ttl_seconds": 90
    },
    "api": {
        "name": "payment-reliability",
        "version": "1"
    }
}