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Lightning Reliability Intelligence

Route insights that show whether Lightning recommendations are stable or shifting.

Optaimaze analyzes recent route snapshots to surface confidence, volatility, winner changes, payment reliability, and route stability signals.

shifting Risk: High Stability: Weak Last updated: 12:32 PM

Current recommendation: ACINQ

Recommendation is shifting. The leading candidate changed 6 time(s) across the last 12 snapshots, with low score volatility, stable confidence, and weak short-term stability.

Route Recommendation:
Avoid over-relying on ACINQ as a single route candidate. Stability is weak, and leadership changed 6 time(s), so review alternates and continue monitoring before treating this route as stable.
38
Stability Score

38/100

Based on dominance, volatility, winner changes, confidence trend, and current recommendation duration.

Payment Reliability Risk: Severe Outcome: High failure risk

31/100 payment reliability

Optaimaze translates route stability, confidence, dominance, and recent volatility into a payment-facing reliability signal.

Payment Recommendation:
Payment failure risk is high. Wait for improved route stability or use an alternate routing strategy before sending.
31
Payment Reliability

High failure risk

Based on the current route candidate, recent route leadership, volatility, and snapshot history.

Payment Risk Factors

  • Route leadership is shifting across recent snapshots.
  • Current route confidence risk is high.
  • Recommended route changed multiple times in the recent snapshot window.
  • Current route candidate has weak short-term stability.
  • Current recommendation does not match the dominant recent node.
Dominant Node bfx-lnd0
Dominance 58.33%
Current Duration 1/12
Stability Strength Weak
Confidence High
Current Score 98.41
Winner Changes 6
Volatility Low

Why This Status?

  • Route leadership changed 6 time(s) across the last 12 snapshots.
  • bfx-lnd0 is the dominant node with 58.33% of recent recommendations.
  • The current recommendation does not match the dominant node, which may indicate a recent shift.
  • The current recommendation has held for 1 consecutive snapshot(s).
  • Short-term stability strength is weak.
  • Score volatility is low.
  • Confidence trend is stable.

Top Alternates

bfx-lnd1
100%
Kraken
100%
ACINQ
75%
okx
66.7%
bfx-lnd0
41.7%

Recent Route History

Time Winner Score Confidence
12:32 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 98.41 High
12:24 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 97.46 High
12:16 okx
0294ac3e099def03c12a37e30fe5364b1223fd60069869142ef96580c8439c2e0a
 97.95 High
12:08 okx
0294ac3e099def03c12a37e30fe5364b1223fd60069869142ef96580c8439c2e0a
 97.95 High
12:00 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 97.46 High
11:56 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 97.74 High
11:48 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 97.46 High
11:40 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 98.41 High
11:32 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 98.02 High
11:24 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 98.02 High
11:16 bfx-lnd0
033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
 97.74 High
11:08 ACINQ
03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f
 98.41 High

Leadership Distribution

bfx-lnd0
58.3%
ACINQ
25%
okx
16.7%

Dominant node: bfx-lnd0
Dominant strength: Moderate
Stability strength: Weak
Confidence trend: Stable
Score trend: Stable
Score volatility: 0.35